Poll model projects 82 percent Latino support for Clinton

Albert Marin, a Latino junior at Stony Brook University, is voting in the presidential election on November 8, 2016 in Long Island, but his vote is uncertain.Albert Marin, a Latino junior at Stony Brook University, is voting in the presidential election on November 8, 2016 in Long Island, but his vote is uncertain.

By Rylie Bernard and Taylor Ha

Albert Marin is an anomaly. Born in Queens, New York, he is a first generation Colombian-American junior at Stony Brook University. He is not 100 percent sure about who he will vote for in the 2016 presidential election, but he leans towards Donald Trump.

“We have an election where there’s two presidential candidates who really can’t be voted in. One of them, Trump, is extremely savage,” he said. “And Hillary, on the other hand, if she didn’t have the power that she had, she would be in jail.”

As for now, he’s not part of the 82 percent of Latinos projected to support Hillary Clinton, the Democratic nominee for the upcoming presidential election, according to an expert Latino polling firm last Thursday. This is the highest amount of the Latino vote in history, according to the polling firm Latino Decisions.

The model also forecasted that Republican frontrunner Donald Trump would receive support from 15 percent of the Latino vote, while third-party options would gain only three percent of Latino support.

Anti-Trump emotions are one of the factors that affected the Latino Decisions poll results, Justin Gross, Chief Statistician at Latino Decisions and Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, said.

“I think it’s mostly chalked up to a fair amount of pro-Clinton energy, but much more of it is due to anti-Trump energy,” he added.

Trump has made remarks referring to Mexican immigrants as “criminals” and “rapists,” calling for the erection of a wall between the U.S. and Mexico and labeling a Mexican-American federal judge as biased and “hostile” because of his Hispanic ethnicity.

There are other reasons why U.S. Latinos are voting for Clinton instead of Trump.

“They tend to vote heavily Democratic,” Rodolfo O. de la Garza, a Latino politics expert at Columbia University, said. “They voted up to, in some states, 76, 77 percent for Obama.”

In Suffolk County, 18.6 percent of the population is of Hispanic or Latino descent, according to a July 2015 statistic from the U.S. Census Bureau. However, the county has become racially less diverse over time, Dr. Daniel Lewis, an assistant professor in the Department of Political Science at Siena College, said.

“Trump’s base is among white, working class men,” he said in an email. “In addition, Republican typically draw support from wealthier voters, and Suffolk County has a very high median income of $88,000.”

Election Day is coming up in less than a month: Tuesday, November 8.

Although there is 82 percent projected Latino support for Clinton, Marin is still divided about who will win his vote in less than a month.

“The poll results might be accurate,” Marin said. But either way, he’s still not happy about the two leading presidential candidates this year.

“Hopefully the system changes at some point, because this can’t continue happening,” he said.